Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.915255 3.220112 3.549289 3.932123 4.366343 4.844954 5.414337
2025-06-29 2.435140 2.837189 3.300567 3.877725 4.582324 5.420921 6.504095
2025-07-06 2.060837 2.490944 3.009670 3.688026 4.561593 5.662290 7.175980
2025-07-13 1.876880 2.338866 2.917605 3.706458 4.770335 6.179838 8.230616
2025-07-20 1.753614 2.243444 2.877609 3.774087 5.033969 6.780898 9.458557
2025-07-27 1.657342 2.170052 2.853545 3.851935 5.308721 7.415504 10.807011
2025-08-03 1.566952 2.094124 2.815370 3.900318 5.538263 8.000523 12.150207
2025-08-10 1.481220 2.016018 2.764918 3.921827 5.723712 8.531317 13.471549
2025-08-17 1.367995 1.889595 2.633933 3.809107 5.687202 8.702558 14.205755
2025-08-24 1.284774 1.800220 2.549423 3.757805 5.738811 9.016019 15.222279
2025-08-31 1.218453 1.730877 2.488979 3.737288 5.835354 9.410282 16.435137
2025-09-07 1.190125 1.716186 2.509715 3.846615 6.156868 10.226605 18.568490
2025-09-14 1.131225 1.652236 2.451307 3.824361 6.255073 10.664035 20.047185
2025-09-21 1.073404 1.586489 2.385663 3.784514 6.318002 11.043250 21.470882
2025-09-28 0.991162 1.477476 2.243437 3.602233 6.104444 10.867951 21.667138
2025-10-05 0.955725 1.441242 2.217639 3.620454 6.263624 11.440787 23.630636
2025-10-12 0.931975 1.422361 2.218995 3.686226 6.518294 12.235866 26.258468
2025-10-19 0.911534 1.407554 2.225887 3.761881 6.798746 13.119120 29.278039
2025-10-26 0.887419 1.385119 2.217982 3.808891 7.025624 13.914965 32.241928
2025-11-02 0.860572 1.356514 2.197364 3.829789 7.200112 14.615524 35.102307
2025-11-09 0.814981 1.293528 2.112352 3.720266 7.089430 14.646140 36.100600
2025-11-16 0.781547 1.250002 2.059791 3.670414 7.101870 14.967706 38.007701
2025-11-23 0.754621 1.216574 2.023655 3.650475 7.177566 15.451120 40.508287